Value bet: General Lamadrid to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGeneral Lamadrid to win ✗37% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
General Lamadrid vs El Porvenir preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees General Lamadrid take on El Porvenir on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). General Lamadrid are 6th with 41 points from 32 games (in the top half), while El Porvenir sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
General Lamadrid's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Fénix 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
El Porvenir's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Leones de Rosario 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Porvenir arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for General Lamadrid and 0.9 for El Porvenir. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: General Lamadrid 37%, draw 27%, El Porvenir 36%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.48.
Value angle: General Lamadrid to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: General Lamadrid 0–0 El Porvenir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
General Lamadrid37%fair 2.70 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.70
El Porvenir36%fair 2.80 · @2.40
1.83Expected goals
0.93General Lamadrid xG
0.90El Porvenir xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: General Lamadrid 0.9 – 0.9 El Porvenir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
General Lamadrid to win✗
37%
2.70
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
General Lamadrid – last 6
LLLWWL
29 Jun
@ Fénix
1–3
L
15 Jun
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Lujan
0–1
L
31 May
vs Yupanqui
4–2
W
8 May
vs Atletico Atlas
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Deportivo Español
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Porvenir – last 6
DLDWWD
27 Jun
vs Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
13 Jun
vs Atletico Atlas
0–1
L
7 Jun
@ Canuelas
0–0
D
30 May
vs Deportivo Muñiz
2–1
W
27 Apr
@ Central Ballester
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Fénix
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between General Lamadrid and El Porvenir.
What is the prediction for General Lamadrid vs El Porvenir?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win General Lamadrid vs El Porvenir?
On our numbers General Lamadrid have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Porvenir 36%.
How many goals will there be in General Lamadrid vs El Porvenir?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for General Lamadrid vs El Porvenir?
Our predicted score is General Lamadrid 0–0 El Porvenir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is General Lamadrid vs El Porvenir?
General Lamadrid vs El Porvenir (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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