Value bet: Defensores de Cambaceres to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Barracas to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Sportivo Barracas vs Defensores de Cambaceres preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Sportivo Barracas take on Defensores de Cambaceres on Monday 18 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Sportivo Barracas are 7th with 40 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Defensores de Cambaceres sit 10th on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sportivo Barracas's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Muñiz 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Defensores de Cambaceres's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Mercedes 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Sportivo Barracas and 0.9 for Defensores de Cambaceres. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Defensores de Cambaceres to win at 3.60 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Sportivo Barracas 1–0 Defensores de Cambaceres. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Barracas39%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Defensores de Cambaceres35%fair 2.90 · @3.60
1.91Expected goals
1.00Sportivo Barracas xG
0.91Defensores de Cambaceres xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sportivo Barracas 1.0 – 0.9 Defensores de Cambaceres expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Barracas to win✓
39%
2.53
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Sportivo Barracas – last 6
DDLDWL
11 May
vs Deportivo Muñiz
0–0
D
4 May
@ Deportivo Español
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Central Cordoba
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Lugano
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Central Ballester
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Defensores de Cambaceres – last 5
WLWDL
8 May
vs Mercedes
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Leones de Rosario
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Juventud Unida
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Barracas and Defensores de Cambaceres.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Barracas vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
On our numbers Sportivo Barracas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Defensores de Cambaceres 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Barracas vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Barracas vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Barracas 1–0 Defensores de Cambaceres, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Barracas vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
Sportivo Barracas vs Defensores de Cambaceres (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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