Deportivo Español vs Mercedes prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Español to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Español to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceDeportivo Español or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.57
Deportivo Español vs Mercedes preview and prediction
The match
Mercedes travel to face Deportivo Español in the Primera C on Monday 18 May (19:30 WAT). Deportivo Español are 3rd with 52 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Mercedes sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Deportivo Español's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Fénix 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Deportivo Español and 0.5 for Mercedes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Español 62%, draw 23%, Mercedes 15%.
Safer route: Deportivo Español or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Español to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Español 1–0 Mercedes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Español62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @2.95
Mercedes15%fair 6.67 · @3.90
1.83Expected goals
1.37Deportivo Español xG
0.46Mercedes xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Español 1.4 – 0.5 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Español to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Español or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Español / FT Deportivo Español✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.57
–
Form
Deportivo Español – last 6
LDWDDL
11 May
@ Fénix
0–1
L
4 May
vs Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs General Lamadrid
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Atletico Atlas
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Yupanqui
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 2
LD
8 May
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Español and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Deportivo Español to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Deportivo Español have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mercedes 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Español 1–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Español vs Mercedes?
Deportivo Español vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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