Value bet: Deportivo Muñiz to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Atlas to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Atletico Atlas vs Deportivo Muñiz preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Atlas host Deportivo Muñiz in the Primera C on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT). Atletico Atlas are 10th with 37 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Muñiz sit 14th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Deportivo Muñiz's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Canuelas 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Atletico Atlas and 0.8 for Deportivo Muñiz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Muñiz to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Atletico Atlas 0–0 Deportivo Muñiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Atlas43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.88
Deportivo Muñiz33%fair 3.02 · @3.40
1.71Expected goals
0.94Atletico Atlas xG
0.77Deportivo Muñiz xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Atletico Atlas 0.9 – 0.8 Deportivo Muñiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Atlas to win✗
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.85
–
Form
Atletico Atlas – last 2
DL
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Español
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Sacachispas
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Muñiz – last 4
DDLL
30 Mar
vs Canuelas
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs JJ Urquiza
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Yupanqui
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Central Cordoba
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Atlas and Deportivo Muñiz.
What is the prediction for Atletico Atlas vs Deportivo Muñiz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atletico Atlas vs Deportivo Muñiz?
On our numbers Atletico Atlas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Muñiz 33%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Atlas vs Deportivo Muñiz?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Atlas vs Deportivo Muñiz?
Our predicted score is Atletico Atlas 0–0 Deportivo Muñiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Atlas vs Deportivo Muñiz?
Atletico Atlas vs Deportivo Muñiz (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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