Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Ciudad de Laferrere StadiumDeportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo prediction & analysis
Deportivo Laferrere to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo Laferrere 1.7 – 0.7 Deportivo Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Deportivo Laferrere are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Deportivo Merlo.
Deportivo Laferrere have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Deportivo Merlo have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Deportivo Laferrere, 0.7 for Deportivo Merlo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Deportivo Laferrere have won 0, Deportivo Merlo have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Deportivo Laferrere to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Laferrere to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Deportivo Laferrere or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportivo Laferrere / FT Deportivo Laferrere ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.66 | – |
Form
Deportivo Laferrere – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Deportivo Camioneros | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Sportivo Italiano | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ San Martín Burzaco | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Villa San Carlos | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Liniers | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Real Pilar | 1–1 | D |
Deportivo Merlo – last 6
| 5 Oct | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Deportivo Armenio | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Flandria | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Argentino Quilmes | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Defensores Unidos | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Comunicaciones | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 2 Jun 2026 | Deportivo Merlo v Deportivo Laferrere | 2–1 |
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
Our pick is Deportivo Laferrere to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
On our numbers Deportivo Laferrere have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Merlo 16%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.