Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Carlos SacaanItuzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes prediction & analysis
Argentino Quilmes to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ituzaingó 0.5 – 1.5 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Argentino Quilmes travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 14% for Ituzaingó.
Ituzaingó have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Argentino Quilmes have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Argentino Quilmes come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.5 for Ituzaingó, 1.5 for Argentino Quilmes). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (20%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ituzaingó have won 0, Argentino Quilmes have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Argentino Quilmes to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Argentino Quilmes to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Argentino Quilmes or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Argentino Quilmes / FT Argentino Quilmes ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 20% | 5.10 | – |
Form
Ituzaingó – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ UAI Urquiza | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Defensores Unidos | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Villa Dalmine | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Excursionistas | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Dock Sud | 0–2 | L |
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Defensores Unidos | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Dock Sud | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Deportivo Merlo | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Deportivo Camioneros | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Sportivo Italiano | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 1 Jun 2026 | Argentino Quilmes v Ituzaingó | 2–0 |
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our pick is Argentino Quilmes to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?
On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Argentino Quilmes 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?
Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.