Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Excursionistas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.45
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos preview and prediction
The match
Excursionistas host Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Excursionistas Stadium. Excursionistas are 1st with 81 points from 42 games (top of the table), while Villa San Carlos sit 11th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Excursionistas's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Liniers 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Villa San Carlos's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Excursionistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Villa San Carlos 0–2 Excursionistas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Excursionistas and 0.6 for Villa San Carlos. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Excursionistas 66%, draw 19%, Villa San Carlos 15%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Excursionistas to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Excursionistas 1–0 Villa San Carlos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excursionistas66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.50
Villa San Carlos15%fair 6.50 · @7.00
2.17Expected goals
1.61Excursionistas xG
0.56Villa San Carlos xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.6 – 0.6 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Villa San Carlos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 Villa San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
