Value bet: Argentino de Merlo to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiniers to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Liniers take on Argentino de Merlo on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium. Liniers are 16th with 48 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Argentino de Merlo sit 13th on 50 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Liniers's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Talleres Remedios 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Argentino de Merlo's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Real Pilar 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Liniers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Liniers and 0.8 for Argentino de Merlo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liniers 42%, draw 25%, Argentino de Merlo 33%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Argentino de Merlo to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Liniers 1–0 Argentino de Merlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liniers42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.70
Argentino de Merlo33%fair 3.03 · @3.60
1.84Expected goals
1.00Liniers xG
0.84Argentino de Merlo xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Liniers 1.0 – 0.8 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liniers to win✗
42%
2.39
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Liniers – last 6
WDDWLL
12 Sep
@ Talleres Remedios
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Deportivo Laferrere
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Deportivo Armenio
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Flandria
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Argentino Quilmes
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
LLDLDD
12 Sep
vs Real Pilar
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ UAI Urquiza
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Ituzaingó
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liniers and Argentino de Merlo.
What is the prediction for Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers Liniers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Argentino de Merlo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is Liniers 1–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo?
Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
