Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.62 – our chance 50% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlandria to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Merlo host Flandria in the Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium. Deportivo Merlo are 15th with 49 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Flandria sit 14th on 49 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Merlo's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Argentino Quilmes 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flandria's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Deportivo Camioneros 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flandria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Merlo and 1.1 for Flandria. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.62 – 50% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Deportivo Merlo 0–1 Flandria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Merlo34%fair 2.92 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75
Flandria40%fair 2.52 · @2.40
2.03Expected goals
0.96Deportivo Merlo xG
1.07Flandria xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Merlo 1.0 – 1.1 Flandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flandria to win✗
40%
2.52
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Deportivo Merlo – last 6
LDLLDD
13 Sep
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Defensores Unidos
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Dock Sud
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Ituzaingó
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Deportivo Camioneros
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Flandria – last 6
WLWLWD
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Camioneros
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sportivo Italiano
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs San Martín Burzaco
2–0
W
25 Aug
@ Villa San Carlos
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Liniers
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Real Pilar
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Merlo and Flandria.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?
On our numbers Deportivo Merlo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Flandria 40%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Merlo 0–1 Flandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?
Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
