Value bet: San Martín Burzaco to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martín Burzaco to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.44
UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco preview and prediction
The match
UAI Urquiza host San Martín Burzaco in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 20 June, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Monumental de Villa Lynch. UAI Urquiza are 21st with 45 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while San Martín Burzaco sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
UAI Urquiza's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Villa San Carlos 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Villa Dalmine 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for UAI Urquiza and 1.0 for San Martín Burzaco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: San Martín Burzaco to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: UAI Urquiza 0–0 San Martín Burzaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UAI Urquiza34%fair 2.98 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
San Martín Burzaco40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
1.85Expected goals
0.86UAI Urquiza xG
0.99San Martín Burzaco xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.9 – 1.0 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Burzaco to win✗
40%
2.48
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.44
–
Form
UAI Urquiza – last 6
DWLLDD
13 Jun
@ Villa San Carlos
0–0
D
8 Jun
vs Liniers
2–1
W
30 May
@ Real Pilar
1–2
L
26 May
@ Comunicaciones
0–3
L
22 May
@ Ituzaingó
1–1
D
9 May
@ Excursionistas
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
LLWWLL
13 Jun
vs Villa Dalmine
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
31 May
vs Arsenal Sarandi
2–0
W
27 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UAI Urquiza and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martín Burzaco 40%.
How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco?
UAI Urquiza vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
