Value bet: Argentino Quilmes to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes preview and prediction
The match
Argentino Quilmes travel to Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 20 June (19:00 WAT) to face Brown DE Adrogue. Brown DE Adrogue are 20th with 46 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while Argentino Quilmes sit 17th on 47 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Brown DE Adrogue's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Defensores Unidos 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Argentino Quilmes's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Armenio 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentino Quilmes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Brown DE Adrogue and 1.0 for Argentino Quilmes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brown DE Adrogue 35%, draw 26%, Argentino Quilmes 39%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Argentino Quilmes to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Argentino Quilmes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brown DE Adrogue35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Argentino Quilmes39%fair 2.56 · @3.00
1.90Expected goals
0.91Brown DE Adrogue xG
0.99Argentino Quilmes xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 0.9 – 1.0 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Quilmes to win✓
39%
2.56
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
Brown DE Adrogue – last 6
DLWLLD
13 Jun
@ Defensores Unidos
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Comunicaciones
1–2
L
30 May
@ Dock Sud
1–0
W
26 May
vs Talleres Remedios
1–2
L
22 May
vs Deportivo Merlo
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Real Pilar
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
DWWDDL
14 Jun
vs Deportivo Armenio
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Flandria
1–0
W
1 Jun
vs Ituzaingó
2–0
W
27 May
vs Excursionistas
2–2
D
17 May
@ Comunicaciones
0–0
D
3 May
@ Deportivo Merlo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brown DE Adrogue and Argentino Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?
On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Argentino Quilmes 39%.
How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes?
Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
