Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martín Burzaco to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine preview and prediction
The match
Villa Dalmine travel to Francisco Boga Stadium in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 13 June (00:00 WAT) to face San Martín Burzaco. San Martín Burzaco are 12th with 51 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Villa Dalmine sit 6th on 68 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Excursionistas 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Villa Dalmine's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Villa San Carlos 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for San Martín Burzaco and 0.9 for Villa Dalmine. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martín Burzaco 38%, draw 26%, Villa Dalmine 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: San Martín Burzaco 0–0 Villa Dalmine. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martín Burzaco38%fair 2.60 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Villa Dalmine35%fair 2.82 · @2.45
1.92Expected goals
0.99San Martín Burzaco xG
0.93Villa Dalmine xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.0 – 0.9 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Burzaco to win✗
38%
2.60
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
LWWLLW
6 Jun
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
31 May
vs Arsenal Sarandi
2–0
W
27 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Villa Dalmine – last 6
DLLWWD
6 Jun
vs Villa San Carlos
0–0
D
31 May
@ Liniers
0–1
L
27 May
@ Defensores Unidos
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Talleres Remedios
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín Burzaco and Villa Dalmine.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villa Dalmine 35%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 0–0 Villa Dalmine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine?
San Martín Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
