Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Villa San Carlos take on Excursionistas on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Genacio Salice Stadium. Villa San Carlos are 11th with 51 points from 42 games (in the top half), while Excursionistas sit 1st on 81 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Villa San Carlos's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Camioneros 0–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Excursionistas's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Argentino Quilmes 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Villa San Carlos and 1.3 for Excursionistas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa San Carlos 29%, draw 22%, Excursionistas 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Villa San Carlos 1–1 Excursionistas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa San Carlos29%fair 3.48 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Excursionistas49%fair 2.04 · @2.15
2.23Expected goals
0.91Villa San Carlos xG
1.32Excursionistas xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Villa San Carlos 0.9 – 1.3 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excursionistas to win✓
49%
2.04
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.08
–
Form
Villa San Carlos – last 6
LDWLLD
26 May
@ Deportivo Camioneros
0–3
L
22 May
@ Arsenal Sarandi
2–2
D
14 Apr
@ Flandria
4–1
W
23 Mar
@ Dock Sud
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Sportivo Italiano
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ San Martín Burzaco
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Excursionistas – last 6
DWDLDD
27 May
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–2
D
23 May
vs Liniers
4–1
W
9 May
vs UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Argentino de Merlo
1–1
D
11 Apr
vs Talleres Remedios
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa San Carlos and Excursionistas.
What is the prediction for Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
On our numbers Villa San Carlos have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Excursionistas 49%.
How many goals will there be in Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
Our predicted score is Villa San Carlos 1–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas?
Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Genacio Salice Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
