Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 50% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✓38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.47
Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Argentino Quilmes take on San Martín Burzaco on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Barranca Quilmena stadium. Argentino Quilmes are 17th with 47 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while San Martín Burzaco sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Argentino Quilmes's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Real Pilar 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Comunicaciones 1–0 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Martín Burzaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Argentino Quilmes and 1.1 for San Martín Burzaco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 50% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Argentino Quilmes 1–1 San Martín Burzaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino Quilmes38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.95
San Martín Burzaco36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
2.17Expected goals
1.11Argentino Quilmes xG
1.07San Martín Burzaco xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Argentino Quilmes 1.1 – 1.1 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Quilmes to win✓
38%
2.62
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino Quilmes / FT Argentino Quilmes✓
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.47
–
Form
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
LDWLLD
29 Mar
@ Real Pilar
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Villa Dalmine
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Arsenal Sarandi
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Argentino de Merlo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 5
WDWDD
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Ituzaingó
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Villa San Carlos
3–3
D
22 Feb
@ Liniers
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Quilmes and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Argentino Quilmes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Martín Burzaco 36%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Argentino Quilmes 1–1 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco?
Argentino Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Barranca Quilmena stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
