Liga Nacional · GuatemalaMalacateco vs Cobán Imperial prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Malacateco 1.7 – 0.6 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Malacateco are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Cobán Imperial.
Malacateco have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Cobán Imperial have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Malacateco, 0.6 for Cobán Imperial). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Malacateco have won 0, Cobán Imperial have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Malacateco to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | Malacateco or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Malacateco / FT Malacateco ✗ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.98 | – |
Form
Malacateco – last 6
| 6 Apr | @ Xelajú | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Apr | vs Guastatoya | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Municipal | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Mar | vs Aurora | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Mar | @ Mictlán | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | vs Mixco | 1–2 | L |
Cobán Imperial – last 6
| 6 Apr | @ Municipal | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Apr | vs Aurora | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Mar | @ Marquense | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | vs Comunicaciones | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Mar | @ Antigua GFC | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Mar | vs Xelajú | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 24 Feb 2026 | Cobán Imperial v Malacateco | 2–0 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Malacateco vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Malacateco vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Malacateco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cobán Imperial 14%.
How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Malacateco vs Cobán Imperial?
Malacateco vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.