Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
1–0
FT

Xelajú

DWWDD

Marquense vs Xelajú prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarquense to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.44

Marquense vs Xelajú preview and prediction

The match

Xelajú travel to Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada in the Liga Nacional on Thursday 2 April (03:00 WAT) to face Marquense. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Xelajú sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Marquense's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Comunicaciones 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Xelajú's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Guastatoya 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Xelajú 4–2 Marquense.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Marquense and 1.2 for Xelajú. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Marquense 1–1 Xelajú. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Marquense41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
Xelajú37%fair 2.74 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.29Marquense xG
1.21Xelajú xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Marquense 1.3 – 1.2 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarquense to win ✓41%2.462.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marquense / FT Marquense ✓22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11%9.44–

Form

Marquense – last 6

WLWWDL
30 Marvs Comunicaciones1–0W
24 Mar@ Antigua GFC0–1L
19 Marvs Cobán Imperial3–1W
8 Marvs Malacateco1–0W
5 Marvs Guastatoya2–2D
1 Mar@ Municipal0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Xelajú – last 6

DWWDDD
29 Marvs Guastatoya1–1D
23 Mar@ Comunicaciones3–1W
20 Marvs Municipal3–1W
15 Marvs Antigua GFC1–1D
8 Mar@ Aurora0–0D
5 Mar@ Cobán Imperial1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Xelajú v Marquense4–2
Marquense vs Xelajú head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marquense vs Xelajú?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Marquense vs Xelajú?

On our numbers Marquense have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Xelajú 37%.

How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Xelajú?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Xelajú?

Our predicted score is Marquense 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Marquense vs Xelajú?

Marquense vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.