Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio PensativoAntigua GFC vs Mictlán prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 1.8 – 0.7 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Antigua GFC are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Mictlán.
Antigua GFC have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Mictlán have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Antigua GFC, 0.7 for Mictlán). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Antigua GFC have won 0, Mictlán have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Antigua GFC to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Antigua GFC or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Antigua GFC ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.93 | – |
Form
Antigua GFC – last 6
| 24 Mar | vs Marquense | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | @ Comunicaciones | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | @ Xelajú | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Mar | vs Cobán Imperial | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Mar | vs Achuapa | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | @ Malacateco | 2–2 | D |
Mictlán – last 6
| 21 Mar | @ Achuapa | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | vs Malacateco | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | @ Guastatoya | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Mar | vs Aurora | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Mar | @ Xelajú | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | @ Mixco | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 15 Feb 2026 | Mictlán v Antigua GFC | 0–0 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mictlán 15%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Antigua GFC vs Mictlán?
Antigua GFC vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.