Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMixco to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Mixco vs Mictlán preview and prediction
The match
Mixco host Mictlán in the Liga Nacional on Thursday 26 February, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Mixco are 3rd with 36 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Mictlán sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mictlán's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Marquense 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Mixco and 0.8 for Mictlán. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mixco 65%, draw 22%, Mictlán 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Mixco 2–0 Mictlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixco65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
Mictlán13%fair 7.61 · @5.60
2.80Expected goals
1.98Mixco xG
0.81Mictlán xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Mixco 2.0 – 0.8 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Mixco
Mictlán
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+28%
Our expected goals here
2.48
1.07
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mixco to win✗
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Mixco or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.20
Half-time result
Mixco ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Mixco – last 2
LL
23 Feb
@ Xelajú
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mictlán – last 3
WLD
22 Feb
vs Marquense
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Mictlán.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mixco vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Mixco have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mictlán 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Mictlán?
Our predicted score is Mixco 2–0 Mictlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Mictlán?
Mixco vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
