Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMictlán to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceMictlán or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Mictlán vs Marquense preview and prediction
The match
Mictlán host Marquense in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Asuncion. Mictlán are 9th with 27 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Marquense sit 8th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Mictlán and 0.6 for Marquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mictlán 1–0 Marquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mictlán64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.35
Marquense17%fair 5.97 · @5.60
2.29Expected goals
1.64Mictlán xG
0.65Marquense xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mictlán 1.6 – 0.6 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mictlán to win✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
Mictlán or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mictlán / FT Mictlán✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Mictlán – last 2
LD
20 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Marquense – last 2
WL
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mictlán and Marquense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mictlán vs Marquense?
On our numbers Mictlán have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Marquense 17%.
How many goals will there be in Mictlán vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mictlán vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Mictlán 1–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mictlán vs Marquense?
Mictlán vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Asuncion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
