Value bet: Guastatoya to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuastatoya to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial preview and prediction
The match
Guastatoya host Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT). Guastatoya are 7th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Cobán Imperial sit 6th on 32 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Guastatoya and 0.8 for Cobán Imperial. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Guastatoya to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Guastatoya 1–0 Cobán Imperial. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guastatoya56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.10
Cobán Imperial22%fair 4.58 · @3.90
2.39Expected goals
1.56Guastatoya xG
0.83Cobán Imperial xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.6 – 0.8 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guastatoya to win✓
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Guastatoya – last 2
LD
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cobán Imperial – last 2
DL
18 Feb
vs Municipal
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Aurora
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guastatoya and Cobán Imperial.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cobán Imperial 22%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–0 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
