Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Moron to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✓67% · @1.73
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.08
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Moron host Ciudad de Bolívar in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. Deportivo Moron are 3rd with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Ciudad de Bolívar sit 7th on 51 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Deportivo Moron's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Almirante Brown 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ciudad de Bolívar's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Colon Santa Fe 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ciudad de Bolívar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Ciudad de Bolívar 1–2 Deportivo Moron.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo Moron and 0.5 for Ciudad de Bolívar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Moron 67%, draw 23%, Ciudad de Bolívar 10%.
Safer route: Deportivo Moron or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Moron to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Moron67%fair 1.50 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.20
Ciudad de Bolívar10%fair 9.93 · @5.00
2.13Expected goals
1.66Deportivo Moron xG
0.47Ciudad de Bolívar xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.7 – 0.5 Ciudad de Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ciudad de Bolívar 10%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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