Primera Nacional · Argentina · La Quema StadiumAcassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction & analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Acassuso 0.4 – 1.5 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste travel as clear favourites – 67% to win, against 12% for Acassuso.
Acassuso have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.2 per game. Ferro Carril Oeste have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (0.4 for Acassuso, 1.5 for Ferro Carril Oeste). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (23%), 0–2 (17%), 0–0 (16%).
In their last 1 meeting, Acassuso have won 0, Ferro Carril Oeste have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Ferro Carril Oeste to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ferro Carril Oeste to win ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Ferro Carril Oeste or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 23% | 4.33 | – |
Form
Acassuso – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Central Norte | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Deportivo Madryn | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Defensores De Belgrano | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Ciudad de Bolívar | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Almirante Brown | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Atletico Mitre | 2–0 | W |
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Chaco For Ever | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Racing Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Central Norte | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Deportivo Madryn | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Defensores De Belgrano | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Ciudad de Bolívar | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 14 Jun 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste v Acassuso | 2–1 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
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Deportivo Maipu0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our pick is Ferro Carril Oeste to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
On our numbers Acassuso have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ferro Carril Oeste 67%.
How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.