Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Mitre travel to Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 18 October (19:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Moron. Deportivo Moron are 3rd with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Atletico Mitre sit 13th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Moron's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to CA Estudiantes 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atletico Mitre's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Colon Santa Fe 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Moron arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Atletico Mitre 1–3 Deportivo Moron.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Deportivo Moron and 0.5 for Atletico Mitre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Moron to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Atletico Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Moron68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Atletico Mitre10%fair 9.70 · @6.50
2.32Expected goals
1.79Deportivo Moron xG
0.53Atletico Mitre xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.8 – 0.5 Atletico Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?
Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Mitre 10%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Atletico Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre?
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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