Primera Nacional · ArgentinaSan Martin S.J. vs Temperley prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Temperley to win @ 4.00 – our chance 31% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.1 – 0.9 Temperley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
San Martin S.J. hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 31% for Temperley.
San Martin S.J. have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Temperley have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. Temperley come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for San Martin S.J., 0.9 for Temperley). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, San Martin S.J. have won 0, Temperley have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.98. For a bigger price, Temperley to win at 4.00 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | San Martin S.J. to win ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT San Martin S.J. / FT San Martin S.J. ✗ | 23% | 4.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.76 | – |
Form
San Martin S.J. – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Deportivo Maipu | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Almagro | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Patronato | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Colegiales | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Tristan Suarez | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Quilmes | 0–1 | L |
Temperley – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Nueva Chicago | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnasia Jujuy | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Deportivo Maipu | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Almagro | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Patronato | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Colegiales | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Temperley v San Martin S.J. | 2–1 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 |  Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 |  Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 |  Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
More Primera Nacional predictions
League hub
Deportivo Moron0
Atletico Mitre2
Godoy Cruz6
CA Estudiantes3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Temperley?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Temperley?
On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Temperley 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Temperley?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is San Martin S.J. vs Temperley?
San Martin S.J. vs Temperley (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.