Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.47
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta preview and prediction
The match
Tristan Suarez host Atlanta in the Primera Nacional on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio 20 de Octubre. Tristan Suarez are 1st with 64 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Atlanta sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tristan Suarez's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with San Martin S.J. 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlanta's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Club Atlético Güemes 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Tristan Suarez and 0.4 for Atlanta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tristan Suarez 63%, draw 26%, Atlanta 11%.
Safer route: Tristan Suarez or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tristan Suarez to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tristan Suarez 1–0 Atlanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tristan Suarez63%fair 1.59 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.90
Atlanta11%fair 9.22 · @4.50
1.86Expected goals
1.44Tristan Suarez xG
0.42Atlanta xG
45%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.4 – 0.4 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tristan Suarez to win✗
63%
1.59
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tristan Suarez or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.18 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tristan Suarez / FT Tristan Suarez✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.47
–
Form
Tristan Suarez – last 6
DDWLWW
16 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Almirante Brown
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlanta – last 6
WWLLWL
12 Sep
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs San Martin S.J.
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Patronato
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tristan Suarez and Atlanta.
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Tristan Suarez to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atlanta 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta?
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
