Value bet: Midland to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMidland to win ✓42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Club Atlético Güemes take on Midland on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda. Club Atlético Güemes are 18th with 27 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Midland sit 5th on 55 points (in the top half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Club Atlético Güemes's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Atlanta 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Midland's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Chacarita Juniors 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Midland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Club Atlético Güemes and 1.2 for Midland. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Atlético Güemes 34%, draw 24%, Midland 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Midland to win at 2.80 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Midland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Atlético Güemes34%fair 2.97 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.80
Midland42%fair 2.37 · @2.80
2.22Expected goals
1.03Club Atlético Güemes xG
1.19Midland xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 – 1.2 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midland to win✓
42%
2.37
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Midland / FT Midland✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
LLDDDD
12 Sep
@ Atlanta
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Atletico Mitre
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Midland – last 6
WLLWLD
13 Sep
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
2–3
L
3 Sep
@ Colegiales
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Nueva Chicago
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Temperley
1–2
L
19 Aug
@ Banfield
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Atlético Güemes and Midland.
What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland?
On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Midland 42%.
How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland?
Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland?
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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