Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio de Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors vs Quilmes prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Quilmes to win @ 3.00 – our chance 43% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 0.8 – 1.0 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Quilmes shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 32% for Chacarita Juniors.
Chacarita Juniors have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Quilmes have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Quilmes come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.8 goals (0.8 for Chacarita Juniors, 1.0 for Quilmes). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (17%), 0–1 (17%), 1–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Chacarita Juniors have won 0, Quilmes have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.20 is better than our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Quilmes to win at 3.00 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Quilmes to win ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | 3.00 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.44 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 17% | 5.95 | – |
Form
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Midland | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Atlanta | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Gimnasia Y Tiro | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs San Martin Tucuman | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Club Atlético Güemes | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ CA Estudiantes | 0–2 | L |
Quilmes – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs San Martin S.J. | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | @ Nueva Chicago | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Temperley | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Deportivo Maipu | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs San Telmo | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Almagro | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 5 May 2026 | Quilmes v Chacarita Juniors | 0–0 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 |  Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 |  Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 |  Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
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Almirante Brown0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Quilmes 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.