Value bet: Temperley to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPatronato to win ✗37% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Patronato vs Temperley preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Patronato take on Temperley on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Patronato are 16th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Temperley sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Patronato's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Maipu 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Temperley's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Colegiales 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Temperley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Patronato and 1.0 for Temperley. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Value angle: Temperley to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Patronato 0–0 Temperley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Patronato37%fair 2.68 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.75
Temperley36%fair 2.81 · @3.50
1.95Expected goals
0.99Patronato xG
0.96Temperley xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Patronato 1.0 – 1.0 Temperley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Patronato to win✗
37%
2.68
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.09
–
Form
Patronato – last 6
DLWDLD
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Maipu
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Almagro
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Atlanta
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–3
D
15 Aug
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–3
L
9 Aug
@ Colegiales
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Temperley – last 6
WWWWLL
6 Sep
vs Colegiales
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Midland
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Los Andes
3–0
W
9 Aug
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Patronato and Temperley.
What is the prediction for Patronato vs Temperley?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Patronato vs Temperley?
On our numbers Patronato have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Temperley 36%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Temperley?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Temperley?
Our predicted score is Patronato 0–0 Temperley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Patronato vs Temperley?
Patronato vs Temperley (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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