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Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento

Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✗37% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45

Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste preview and prediction

The match

Ferro Carril Oeste travel to Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 13 September (19:30 WAT) to face Almirante Brown. Almirante Brown are 6th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Ferro Carril Oeste sit 2nd on 66 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Almirante Brown's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Central Norte 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Ferro Carril Oeste's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Atletico Mitre 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Ferro Carril Oeste 0–1 Almirante Brown.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Almirante Brown and 0.9 for Ferro Carril Oeste. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Almirante Brown 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Almirante Brown37%fair 2.74 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @2.50
Ferro Carril Oeste35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
1.75Expected goals
0.89Almirante Brown xG
0.86Ferro Carril Oeste xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–017%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Almirante Brown 0.9 – 0.9 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmirante Brown to win ✗37%2.742.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.401.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.45–

Form

Almirante Brown – last 6

DWWLWW
6 Sep@ Central Norte0–0D
30 Augvs Deportivo Madryn1–0W
22 Aug@ Defensores De Belgrano2–0W
16 Aug@ Tristan Suarez1–3L
8 Augvs Ciudad de Bolívar2–0W
2 Augvs Racing Cordoba2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6

DDWWWL
5 Sepvs Atletico Mitre0–0D
30 Aug@ CA Estudiantes2–2D
25 Augvs All Boys1–0W
15 Augvs Atlanta3–1W
9 Aug@ Los Andes2–1W
1 Augvs Godoy Cruz1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026Ferro Carril Oeste v Almirante Brown0–1
Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ferro Carril Oeste 35%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.