Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.0 – 0.8 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tristan Suarez hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for San Martin Tucuman.
Tristan Suarez have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. San Martin Tucuman have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Tristan Suarez come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.0 for Tristan Suarez, 0.8 for San Martin Tucuman). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 0–0 (17%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Tristan Suarez have won 0, San Martin Tucuman have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.89. For a bigger price, San Martin Tucuman to win at 3.50 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tristan Suarez to win ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 24% | 4.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.98 | – |
Form
Tristan Suarez – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Atletico DE Rafaela | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Agropecuario | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Almirante Brown | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | @ Gimnasia Jujuy | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Aug | @ Club Atlético Güemes | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Chacarita Juniors | 1–0 | W |
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Club Atlético Güemes | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Chacarita Juniors | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Deportivo Madryn | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs San Martin S.J. | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Nueva Chicago | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Temperley | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 19 Apr 2026 | San Martin Tucuman v Tristan Suarez | 0–0 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 | Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 | Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 | Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 | Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 | Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 | Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
More Primera Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Martin Tucuman 32%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman?
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

















