Primera Nacional · ArgentinaColon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron prediction & analysis
Colon Santa Fe to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Colon Santa Fe 1.7 – 0.6 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colon Santa Fe are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 12% for Deportivo Moron.
Colon Santa Fe have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Deportivo Moron have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Colon Santa Fe, 0.6 for Deportivo Moron). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Colon Santa Fe to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colon Santa Fe to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Colon Santa Fe or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colon Santa Fe / FT Colon Santa Fe ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.83 | – |
Form
Colon Santa Fe – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Racing Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ San Miguel | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Patronato | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs San Telmo | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Acassuso | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | vs Chaco For Ever | 0–1 | L |
Deportivo Moron – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs San Miguel | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | @ Central Norte | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ San Telmo | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Almagro | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Acassuso | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Chaco For Ever | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colon Santa Fe and Deportivo Moron.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
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Atlanta1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Colon Santa Fe to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers Colon Santa Fe have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Moron 12%.
How many goals will there be in Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron?
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.