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Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
0–1
FT

Atlanta

LLWLW

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta prediction & analysis

52%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.25 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.25Odds
2

Value bet: Atlanta to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95

Win chances

Chacarita Juniors39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.75
Atlanta34%fair 2.97 · @3.50
1.98Expected goals
1.04Chacarita Juniors xG
0.94Atlanta xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 1.0 – 0.9 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Chacarita Juniors and Atlanta on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 34% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Chacarita Juniors have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Atlanta have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Chacarita Juniors, 0.9 for Atlanta). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).

In their last 1 meeting, Chacarita Juniors have won 0, Atlanta have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.25 is better than our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Atlanta to win at 3.50 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChacarita Juniors to win ✗39%2.552.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.95–

Form

Chacarita Juniors – last 6

LLDLLW
29 Aug@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–1L
23 Augvs San Martin Tucuman1–2L
19 Augvs Club Atlético Güemes0–0D
15 Aug@ CA Estudiantes0–2L
8 Aug@ Atletico DE Rafaela0–1L
2 Augvs Agropecuario2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlanta – last 6

LLWLWL
30 Augvs San Martin S.J.0–1L
26 Aug@ Patronato0–2L
22 Aug@ Nueva Chicago1–0W
15 Aug@ Ferro Carril Oeste1–3L
9 Augvs Temperley1–0W
2 Aug@ Deportivo Maipu2–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Atlanta v Chacarita Juniors1–0

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.

Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta?

On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atlanta 34%.

How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta?

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.