San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.13
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro preview and prediction
The match
San Martin S.J. host Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT). San Martin S.J. are 9th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 8th on 52 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Martin S.J.'s last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Racing Cordoba 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gimnasia Y Tiro's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Central Norte 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Y Tiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–1 San Martin S.J..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for San Martin S.J. and 0.6 for Gimnasia Y Tiro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin S.J. 58%, draw 27%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 15%.
Safer route: San Martin S.J. or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.48.
Value angle: San Martin S.J. to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: San Martin S.J. 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin S.J.58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.95
Gimnasia Y Tiro15%fair 6.65 · @4.20
1.99Expected goals
1.42San Martin S.J. xG
0.57Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.4 – 0.6 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 15%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensores De Belgrano0
Almirante Brown2
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Los Andes0