Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Tres de FebreroAlmagro vs Colegiales prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Almagro 1.0 – 1.0 Colegiales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Almagro and Colegiales on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Almagro have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Colegiales have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Almagro, 1.0 for Colegiales). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (14%), 0–1 (14%), 1–0 (14%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colegiales to win ✗ | 37% | 2.73 | 2.85 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✓ | 22% | 4.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.29 | – |
Form
Almagro – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Deportivo Moron | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Quilmes | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Aug | vs Gimnasia Y Tiro | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Midland | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jul | @ Atlanta | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | @ San Martin Tucuman | 0–3 | L |
Colegiales – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ San Miguel | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Patronato | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Gimnasia Jujuy | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Quilmes | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jul | @ Atlanta | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Jul | vs Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almagro and Colegiales.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 |  Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 |  Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 |  Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
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Los Andes0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Colegiales?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Almagro vs Colegiales?
On our numbers Almagro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Colegiales 37%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Colegiales?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Almagro vs Colegiales?
Almagro vs Colegiales (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.