Value bet: Quilmes to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.48
Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Deportivo Maipu take on Quilmes on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. Deportivo Maipu are 6th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Quilmes sit 13th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Maipu's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Godoy Cruz 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Quilmes's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat San Telmo 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Maipu and 1.0 for Quilmes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Quilmes to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Maipu 1–1 Quilmes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maipu42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
Quilmes34%fair 2.93 · @3.50
2.16Expected goals
1.16Deportivo Maipu xG
1.00Quilmes xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.2 – 1.0 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✓
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.48
–
Form
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
WLWLDW
15 Aug
@ Godoy Cruz
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Midland
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta
4–2
W
26 Jul
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Quilmes – last 6
WDWDLL
15 Aug
vs San Telmo
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Almagro
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Patronato
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs Colegiales
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Midland
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Quilmes 34%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–1 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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