Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✗36% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Chacarita Juniors host San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors. Chacarita Juniors are 14th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while San Martin Tucuman sit 10th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chacarita Juniors's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Club Atlético Güemes 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Madryn 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Chacarita Juniors and 0.9 for San Martin Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chacarita Juniors 36%, draw 28%, San Martin Tucuman 36%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Value angle: San Martin Tucuman to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Chacarita Juniors 0–0 San Martin Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chacarita Juniors36%fair 2.75 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.62
San Martin Tucuman36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
1.80Expected goals
0.90Chacarita Juniors xG
0.90San Martin Tucuman xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 0.9 – 0.9 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chacarita Juniors to win✗
36%
2.75
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Form
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
DLLWLL
19 Aug
vs Club Atlético Güemes
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ CA Estudiantes
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Agropecuario
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
DDLLDW
16 Aug
vs Deportivo Madryn
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Temperley
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ Deportivo Maipu
0–0
D
12 Jul
vs Almagro
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chacarita Juniors and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martin Tucuman 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Chacarita Juniors 0–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman?
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.