Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Miguel Sancho
Racing Cordoba vs San Martin S.J. prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Racing Cordoba 1.2 – 0.9 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Racing Cordoba hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 29% for San Martin S.J..
Racing Cordoba have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. San Martin S.J. have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.2 for Racing Cordoba, 0.9 for San Martin S.J.). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Racing Cordoba have won 0, San Martin S.J. have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Racing Cordoba to win ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Racing Cordoba / FT Racing Cordoba ✗ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.50 | – |
Form
Racing Cordoba – last 6
| 9 Aug | vs San Miguel | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Almirante Brown | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs San Telmo | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jul | @ Atletico Mitre | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jul | vs Acassuso | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Jul | @ CA Estudiantes | 1–1 | D |
San Martin S.J. – last 6
| 9 Aug | @ San Martin Tucuman | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Atletico DE Rafaela | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Agropecuario | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | @ Club Atlético Güemes | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Jul | vs Chacarita Juniors | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jun | vs Agropecuario | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 28 Mar 2026 | San Martin S.J. v Racing Cordoba | 0–0 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
More Primera Nacional predictions
League hub
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Gimnasia Jujuy1
San Martin Tucuman2
Temperley3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Racing Cordoba vs San Martin S.J.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Racing Cordoba vs San Martin S.J.?
On our numbers Racing Cordoba have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Martin S.J. 29%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Cordoba vs San Martin S.J.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Racing Cordoba vs San Martin S.J.?
Racing Cordoba vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Sancho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.