Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Gimnasia Jujuy to win @ 3.65 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuilmes to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Quilmes take on Gimnasia Jujuy on Wednesday 5 August, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. Quilmes are 13th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Jujuy sit 4th on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Quilmes's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Patronato 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Gimnasia Jujuy's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Colegiales 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Gimnasia Jujuy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Quilmes and 1.0 for Gimnasia Jujuy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Gimnasia Jujuy to win at 3.65 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Quilmes 1–1 Gimnasia Jujuy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quilmes47%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Gimnasia Jujuy30%fair 3.34 · @3.65
2.27Expected goals
1.31Quilmes xG
0.97Gimnasia Jujuy xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.3 – 1.0 Gimnasia Jujuy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✓
47%
2.15
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quilmes / FT Quilmes✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Quilmes – last 6
DLLWLW
1 Aug
@ Patronato
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs Colegiales
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Midland
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Atlanta
2–1
W
20 Jun
@ Colegiales
1–3
L
13 Jun
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Jujuy – last 6
LWWDWW
1 Aug
@ Colegiales
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ Midland
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Club Atlético Güemes
3–1
W
17 Jun
vs Nueva Chicago
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Gimnasia Jujuy.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimnasia Jujuy 30%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–1 Gimnasia Jujuy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
