Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Almagro take on Gimnasia Y Tiro on Wednesday 5 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tres de Febrero. Almagro are 15th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 8th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Almagro's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Midland 1–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gimnasia Y Tiro's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Temperley 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Gimnasia Y Tiro 2–0 Almagro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Almagro and 1.1 for Gimnasia Y Tiro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almagro 33%, draw 25%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 52% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Almagro 0–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almagro33%fair 3.03 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @2.70
Gimnasia Y Tiro42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
1.99Expected goals
0.91Almagro xG
1.08Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Almagro 0.9 – 1.1 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers Almagro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 42%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is Almagro 0–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Almagro vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
