Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✗38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.99
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Maipu host San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional on Friday 17 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. Deportivo Maipu are 6th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while San Martin Tucuman sit 10th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Maipu's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Atletico DE Rafaela 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Almagro 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Maipu and 1.1 for San Martin Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Maipu 35%, draw 27%, San Martin Tucuman 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Deportivo Maipu 0–1 San Martin Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maipu35%fair 2.89 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.75
San Martin Tucuman38%fair 2.60 · @2.85
2.04Expected goals
0.99Deportivo Maipu xG
1.06San Martin Tucuman xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.0 – 1.1 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✗
38%
2.60
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.99
–
Form
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
WWDLLW
11 Jul
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
3–1
W
5 Jul
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
21 Jun
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
7 Jun
@ Club Atlético Güemes
0–1
L
31 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
WWDLDL
12 Jul
vs Almagro
3–0
W
5 Jul
@ Patronato
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Temperley
1–1
D
13 Jun
@ Colegiales
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Quilmes
0–0
D
31 May
@ Midland
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martin Tucuman 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 0–1 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?
Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almirante Brown0
CA Estudiantes0
Atletico Mitre1
Racing Cordoba0
Ferro Carril Oeste2
Colon Santa Fe0