Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 14 Jun 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPatronato to win ✗64% · @1.90

Double chancePatronato or draw ✓87% · @1.13

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.42

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.21

Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela preview and prediction

The match

Patronato host Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT). Patronato are 16th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico DE Rafaela sit 11th on 47 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Patronato's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Agropecuario 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Atletico DE Rafaela's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Colegiales 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Patronato and 0.4 for Atletico DE Rafaela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Patronato 64%, draw 23%, Atletico DE Rafaela 13%.
Safer route: Patronato or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.42.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Patronato to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Patronato 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Patronato64%fair 1.57 · @1.90

Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.85

Atletico DE Rafaela13%fair 7.62 · @4.60

1.73Expected goals

1.34Patronato xG

0.39Atletico DE Rafaela xG

45%Both score

27%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–024%

0–018%

2–016%

1–19%

3–07%

0–17%

From our goals model: Patronato 1.3 – 0.4 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Patronato to win ✗	64%	1.57	1.90 ▲
Double chance	Patronato or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.13
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Patronato / FT Patronato ✗	36%	2.75	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	24%	4.21	–

Form

Patronato – last 6

DDLWDL

7 Jun	@ Agropecuario	1–1	D
31 May	vs Tristan Suarez	1–1	D
24 May	@ Club Atlético Güemes	0–1	L
17 May	vs Chacarita Juniors	2–0	W
19 Apr	vs Deportivo Maipu	0–0	D
29 Mar	vs Colon Santa Fe	0–2	L

0.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

WLLWDL

6 Jun	vs Colegiales	1–0	W
31 May	@ Quilmes	0–2	L
3 May	@ San Martin Tucuman	1–2	L
21 Apr	vs Agropecuario	4–1	W
14 Apr	@ Tristan Suarez	0–0	D
6 Apr	vs Club Atlético Güemes	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our pick is Patronato to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

On our numbers Patronato have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico DE Rafaela 13%.

How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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