Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCentral Norte to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceCentral Norte or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.53
Central Norte vs San Telmo preview and prediction
The match
Central Norte host San Telmo in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena. Central Norte are 16th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while San Telmo sit 12th on 41 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Central Norte's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Acassuso 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Telmo's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Madryn 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Central Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Central Norte and 0.4 for San Telmo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Norte 62%, draw 26%, San Telmo 12%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Central Norte to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Central Norte 1–0 San Telmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Norte62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.75
San Telmo12%fair 8.04 · @4.60
1.85Expected goals
1.41Central Norte xG
0.44San Telmo xG
43%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–016%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Central Norte 1.4 – 0.4 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Norte to win✗
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Central Norte or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Central Norte / FT Central Norte✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.53
–
Form
Central Norte – last 6
LDLWWD
6 Jun
@ Acassuso
1–2
L
31 May
vs Chaco For Ever
1–1
D
24 May
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
0–1
L
16 May
@ Racing Cordoba
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Telmo – last 5
DLLLD
7 Jun
vs Deportivo Madryn
0–0
D
30 May
@ Defensores De Belgrano
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Quilmes
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Norte and San Telmo.
What is the prediction for Central Norte vs San Telmo?
Our pick is Central Norte to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Central Norte vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Central Norte have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Telmo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Central Norte vs San Telmo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Norte vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Central Norte 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Central Norte vs San Telmo?
Central Norte vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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