Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceDeportivo Maipu or draw ✗76% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Maipu host Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. Deportivo Maipu are 6th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Maipu's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Club Atlético Güemes 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tristan Suarez's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Almagro 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for Deportivo Maipu and 0.8 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Deportivo Maipu or draw (76%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maipu49%fair 2.04 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.55
Tristan Suarez24%fair 4.10 · @4.50
2.07Expected goals
1.28Deportivo Maipu xG
0.79Tristan Suarez xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.3 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✗
49%
2.04
2.05
Double chance
Deportivo Maipu or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.21
–
Form
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
LWWDLL
7 Jun
@ Club Atlético Güemes
0–1
L
31 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
3–2
W
17 May
vs Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Patronato
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Atlanta
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 6
DDWDDL
6 Jun
vs Almagro
0–0
D
31 May
@ Patronato
1–1
D
17 May
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tristan Suarez 24%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez?
Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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