Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.20
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Nueva Chicago take on Almagro on Monday 11 May, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nueva Chicago. Nueva Chicago are 17th with 37 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Almagro sit 15th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nueva Chicago's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Midland 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almagro's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Midland 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Nueva Chicago arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for Nueva Chicago and 0.6 for Almagro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nueva Chicago 56%, draw 22%, Almagro 22%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Nueva Chicago 1–0 Almagro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nueva Chicago56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @2.95
Almagro22%fair 4.56 · @4.50
1.89Expected goals
1.27Nueva Chicago xG
0.62Almagro xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 1.3 – 0.6 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nueva Chicago to win✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nueva Chicago / FT Nueva Chicago✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.20
–
Form
Nueva Chicago – last 6
DWDWWW
13 Apr
vs Midland
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Atlanta
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs All Boys
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Agropecuario
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Atlético Güemes
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Almagro – last 3
DLD
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nueva Chicago and Almagro.
What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almagro 22%.
How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nueva Chicago vs Almagro?
Nueva Chicago vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ferro Carril Oeste2
Defensores De Belgrano1