Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Chacarita Juniors to win @ 4.00 – our chance 30% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.71
Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Atlanta host Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Chacarita Juniors sit 14th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlanta's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat San Martin S.J. 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Chacarita Juniors's last 4: LLWD Most recently they lost to CA Estudiantes 0–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Atlanta and 0.9 for Chacarita Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 45%, draw 24%, Chacarita Juniors 30%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Chacarita Juniors to win at 4.00 – 30% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.80
Chacarita Juniors30%fair 3.29 · @4.00
2.07Expected goals
1.18Atlanta xG
0.89Chacarita Juniors xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.2 – 0.9 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win✓
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.71
–
Form
Atlanta – last 6
WLLWDL
14 Apr
@ San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 4
LLWD
29 Mar
vs CA Estudiantes
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Agropecuario
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chacarita Juniors 30%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors?
Atlanta vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
