Value bet: Atlanta to win @ 3.70 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84
San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta preview and prediction
The match
San Martin S.J. host Atlanta in the Primera Nacional on Tuesday 14 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT). San Martin S.J. are 9th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Atlanta sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
San Martin S.J.'s last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atlanta's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Nueva Chicago 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for San Martin S.J. and 0.9 for Atlanta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin S.J. 39%, draw 26%, Atlanta 35%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Atlanta to win at 3.70 – 35% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: San Martin S.J. 0–0 Atlanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin S.J.39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Atlanta35%fair 2.86 · @3.70
1.92Expected goals
1.00San Martin S.J. xG
0.92Atlanta xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.0 – 0.9 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin S.J. to win✗
39%
2.56
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.84
–
Form
San Martin S.J. – last 6
DDDLLW
4 Apr
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Racing Cordoba
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Tristan Suarez
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Madryn
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlanta – last 6
LLWDLW
8 Apr
vs Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin S.J. and Atlanta.
What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta?
On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atlanta 35%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 0–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta?
San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
