Value bet: Midland to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMidland to win58% · @1.91
Double chanceMidland or draw82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–024% · fair 4.24
Midland vs Temperley preview and prediction
The match
Midland host Temperley in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium. Midland are 5th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Temperley sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Midland's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Almagro 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Temperley's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Los Andes 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Temperley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.2 for Midland and 0.4 for Temperley. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Midland to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Midland 1–0 Temperley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Midland58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.70
Temperley18%fair 5.62 · @4.75
1.59Expected goals
1.16Midland xG
0.43Temperley xG
45%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–020%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–16%
From our goals model: Midland 1.2 – 0.4 Temperley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midland to win
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Midland or draw
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Midland / FT Midland
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
24%
4.24
–
Form
Midland – last 3
DDL
15 Mar
vs Almagro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Quilmes
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Temperley – last 4
WDLW
29 Mar
@ Los Andes
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Agropecuario
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Midland and Temperley.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Midland vs Temperley?
On our numbers Midland have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Temperley 18%.
How many goals will there be in Midland vs Temperley?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midland vs Temperley?
Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 Temperley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Midland vs Temperley?
Midland vs Temperley (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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