Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Moron to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.15
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Deportivo Moron take on San Telmo on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. Deportivo Moron are 3rd with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while San Telmo sit 12th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Deportivo Moron and 0.7 for San Telmo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Moron 67%, draw 20%, San Telmo 13%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Moron to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Moron 1–0 San Telmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Moron67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.20
San Telmo13%fair 7.68 · @6.20
2.62Expected goals
1.93Deportivo Moron xG
0.70San Telmo xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.9 – 0.7 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win✓
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Moron or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Half-time result
Deportivo Moron ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.15
–
Form
Deportivo Moron – last 1
W
26 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Telmo – last 2
LD
29 Mar
vs Quilmes
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and San Telmo.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Telmo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo?
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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