Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn prediction & analysis
74%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Mitre to win @ 2.33 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Mitre to win46% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.53
Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Mitre host Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Aurinegro. Atletico Mitre are 13th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Madryn sit 4th on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Madryn's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with San Martin Tucuman 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Atletico Mitre and 0.7 for Deportivo Madryn. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Value angle: Atletico Mitre to win at 2.33 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Mitre 1–0 Deportivo Madryn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Mitre46%fair 2.15 · @2.33
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.62
Deportivo Madryn28%fair 3.57 · @3.45
1.75Expected goals
1.04Atletico Mitre xG
0.71Deportivo Madryn xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–017%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.0 – 0.7 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Mitre to win
46%
2.15
2.33 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.85
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.53
–
Form
Atletico Mitre – last 2
DW
29 Mar
@ Club Atlético Güemes
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Madryn – last 3
DLL
29 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Mitre and Deportivo Madryn.
What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Madryn 28%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 1–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?
Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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