Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAcassuso to win39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.50
San Telmo vs Acassuso preview and prediction
The match
Acassuso travel to Estadio Osvaldo Baletto in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 1 March (21:00 WAT) to face San Telmo. San Telmo are 12th with 41 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Acassuso sit 17th on 35 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for San Telmo and 1.2 for Acassuso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 36%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Telmo 34%, draw 27%, Acassuso 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 52% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Telmo 1–1 Acassuso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Telmo34%fair 2.93 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.65
Acassuso39%fair 2.59 · @3.10
2.33Expected goals
1.12San Telmo xG
1.21Acassuso xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Telmo 1.1 – 1.2 Acassuso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Acassuso to win
39%
2.59
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Acassuso / FT Acassuso
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.50
–
Form
San Telmo – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Acassuso
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Telmo and Acassuso.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win San Telmo vs Acassuso?
On our numbers San Telmo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Acassuso 39%.
How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Acassuso?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Telmo vs Acassuso?
Our predicted score is San Telmo 1–1 Acassuso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Telmo vs Acassuso?
San Telmo vs Acassuso (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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